Yesterday’s midterm elections in the United States gave the start of a long, overcrowded, expensive and undoubtedly dramatic race for the presidency. The Democrats, at the wave of success after winning majority in the House of Representatives, are entering the presidential race without a clear favorite for the first time since the 2004 presidential election campaign.
More than two dozen potential pretenders, including former Vice President Joe Biden and a bunch of senators, governors, mayors and business leaders, have been struggling for months to attract sponsors and assess their chances of party nomination.
The one who expects to be the winner will almost certainly be President Donald Trump – a Republican whose ratings of approval almost settled under 50% since he took power, but whose popularity in his own party will make the chances of any potential Republican rival almost zero.
Trump has become a central figure in yesterday’s midterm elections, triggering massive participation in the vote of the Democrats and at the same time has led many Republican candidates to declare support for him, otherwise they will be punished by his conservative (electoral) basis.
The Democrats are already bumping their heads over questions such as: which candidate, strategy and approach have the best chance of winning versus Trump on November 3, 2020. Many Democrats are expected to start the race early in the next few months. Whoever emerges from the nomination process, starting in Iowa in early 2020, will have to face Donald Trump, and at the same time will need to be able to produce an attractive alternative program and to unite the often wrenching wings of the Democratic Party – Progressive and Systematic.
“The Democrats will have a lot of work this time”, said Jennifer Palmieri, former White House Director of Communications and Director of Communications for the Hillary Clinton 2016 presidential campaign. “The problem is not just finding the man capable of defeating Trump, but also the man who has a vision of unification of the country”, added she.
The nominated candidate will have to show mass support from the lowlands (the party election base), go everywhere and reach out to everyone.